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Friday, February 22, 2013

A Puzzle

Here is a simple puzzle to develop your understanding and intuition.

You are faced with a problem in which you need to make a decision. For example, you might be choosing u0. You can choose u0=0 or u0=1. One of these is optimal.

There is something "A" which you do not know. It could be either true or false.

If A is true then u0=1 is definitely optimal (i.e. better than u0=0).
If A is false then u0=1 is also definitely optimal.

Can you therefore conclude that u0=1 is optimal?

Thus