Thursday, October 30, 2014

Lecture 7

The Gittins index theorem is one of the most beautiful results in the field of Markov decision processes. Its discovery and proof in 1974 is due to John Gittins. The proof I have given in today's lecture is very different to Gittins's original proof. It the simplest way to prove the theorem and was first presented in On the Gittins index for multiarmed banditsAnn. Appl. Prob. 2, 1024-33, 1992. Proof is pages 1026-27.

For today's lecture I presented some slides on the Gittins Index. You may enjoy looking through the entire talk. It will look better if you download the .pdf file to your computer and read the presentation with a .pdf viewer such as acrobat, rather than try to read within your browser.

The proof of the Gittins index theorem is entertaining, but non-examinable. I would expect you only to know what we mean by a SFABP, the statement of the Gittins index theorem, and how to calculate the indices in simple examples. I thought you would enjoy seeing this beautiful result and how it can be proved. Lectures 1-6 have covered everything you need to know in order to understand the Gittins index. Today's lecture has also been an opportunity to revise ideas that we already met in problems on job scheduling and pharmaceutical trials. 

The prospecting problem in 6.5 and Weiztman's Pandora's boxes problem in 7.5 are really the same problem, and a simple example to which the Gittins index theorem provides the answer.